Deep Dive
The Unstoppable AI Rally
Markets are in freefall upward. The S&P 500 is 744 on a daily chart, way above the 200-day moving average at 6,700, and there are zero sell signals. The QQQ is even more accelerated, breaking new all-time highs constantly with the ATR model confirming each spike. When you zoom out five years, it's going vertical. The geopolitical backdrop is ugly ā Middle East war, spiking oil, multi-year inflation highs, a chaotic Fed ā yet equities keep climbing. The only explanation is AI. Nvidia alone hit a $5.5 trillion market cap today, a level no company has ever touched. The stock broke out of its range, hit another new all-time high, and there's a sell signal on the bars but not on the line chart depending on how you slice the data. Jensen Huang is in China with the US president, and a big announcement is expected at 5 PM Pacific. The trend is perfectly up. Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, Micron, Marvell, Google ā all hitting new all-time highs on the same Wednesday, which is unusual since mid-week typically doesn't see this kind of strength.
Crypto & Solana Ecosystem Outperforming
Bitcoin is struggling but not collapsing. It's bouncing off the 200-day moving average, which acts as resistance in a bear market and support in a bull market. Traders are watching for a break above this line to confirm the bear is over. Michael Saylor is aggressively buying ā the creator estimates he picked up at least 5,000 BTC this week via MicroStrategy to capture the upcoming dividend. The blue trend on daily is still up, but if it turns down, the 40,000 call becomes real. Ethereum is moving sideways and would be under $2,000 without Tom Lee's support. The real action is Solana and its ecosystem. Solana ETF flows are very strong, the chain processes 54% of all blockchain transactions, and it just hit $96 with Purr protocols returning to the ecosystem. A new perpetual DEX called Phoenix is launching to attack Hyperliquid's dominance. The creator calls Solana 'the easiest, safest 3x in crypto' and expects clarity act passage soon, which will benefit both Solana and Circle (USDC's issuer). EOS popped to $9.99 today, hitting the $10 year-end target in just 44 days. It had a 154% earnings surprise and the creator bought it in the 'kill zone' months ago as a double.
Stock-by-Stock Breakdown: The AI Capex Winners
Tesla bounced clean off a 330s support level (the old 'wedgie' from earlier calls) and the creator believes it will break $500 in the next three months. The trend is strong, it's 10% away from all-time highs, and it's above the 200-day moving average. Rotation is happening out of 'pick and shovel AI' (chip suppliers) into 'real baby AGI' (self-driving cars, Optimus robots). Micron is the standout. It broke another near all-time high at $815 today and is trading at $799.75. The mean reversion model shows it's four to five standard deviations overbought, yet it keeps ripping. Revenue growth is 'absolutely crazy,' profitability margins are 60%, and it's earning beats consistently. Forward earnings expectations are $60/share, implying a PE of just 13 despite current valuation. The creator's 2030 target of $1,200 looks sandbagged. Broadcom is running out of steam with a sell signal and mean reversion turning down ā could pull back to $350. AMD hit $460 with a clear sell signal on the 4-hour confluence model, but the trend hasn't turned yet. Marvell is marvelous, up 1,600-2,000%, hitting $182 today with strong trend and financials that have flipped from sketchy to solid as the market realizes capex players need its components. Google hit nearly $5 trillion market cap, another new all-time high, with a big bag of Anthropic, SpaceX stakes, and TPU business driving demand. Alabaster is a range trader bouncing between $185-235 in options-friendly action, with stiff resistance at $232-235.
Copper, Palantir & Micro Strategy Setups
Copper hit a new all-time high again today ā the only precious metal the creator owns. In 36 years of markets, he's never seen anything like this. Copper is the beneficiary of the AI capex boom because AI infrastructure needs massive amounts of copper for wiring and connections. The demand for copper over the next three to five years will exceed global mining capacity. He doesn't like buying at tops, so he got leaps two to three years out as a play. Palantir touched the 'kill box' at $128 today and bounced to $130. The creator showed 11 separate candle penetrations of this kill zone, proving its reliability as support. For new buyers, $128 is good risk-reward; the low $100s would be even better. The key is layering in ā don't chase, buy dips. Micro Strategy has been choppy sideways despite clean buy signals off the 200-week. Saylor is ATMing (at-the-market offering) to raise capital and then STRCing (issuing shares to buy Bitcoin) to avoid ATM dilution. If he bought 5,000 BTC this week as estimated, that's sat accretion for shareholders. Late buyers at $450 are still upset, but the creator has been holding since $16 in 2020 and again buying in the bear at $12-16. Current price $178. Bitcoin's slight after-hours pop is helping MSTR in AH trading.
Technical Tooling & Viewer Q&A
The creator explained his go-to technical indicators: the ATR model (shows when markets changed), the confluence model (catches sell/buy tops and bottoms), trend models, and mean reversion overlays. He showed how to backtest the confluence model by starting from a major market bottom (November 2022 in this case) to avoid corruption from ATM activity that compresses price action. On Hims, a viewer asked for an update. The financials are deteriorating: flat revenue last three quarters, moving from profitable to losing money. That's why the stock gets punished ā markets hate profitability reversals. The chart is ugly, struggling at ATR level two ($27-28), and falls to level four. He'd wait for $17 or $20 to nibble, but the deal with Novo Nordisk on weight-loss drugs (Ozempic, Wegovy) is the lynchpin. On Solana's lack of an on-chain indicator like Bitcoin's, he explained that Bitcoin's Tabby includes 21 on-chain metrics (PI cycle, pool dominance, NVTs, miner behavior, holder balances). Solana data is maturing but isn't mature enough yet; in five years when it has comparable depth, a Tabby equivalent could be built. On copper, he reiterated that $620 is old resistance to watch for nibbles; below $530 is a hard buy. On EOS's dump after hitting $10, he showed the Smart Volume Profile (SVP) ā blue is buying, pink/red is selling. The point of control at $8.90 is where action clusters. Never buy above it; always wait for mean reversion below. At $10, sellers arrived in earnest (profit-taking at the psychological level), dumping hard especially at $8.88. He's experimenting with pair trading EOS against Tesla as a hedge strategy.